Chart of the Week

NDR: See the Signals, Episode 30

Recorded April 9, 2026 - in this episode, NDR's Chief Economist Alejandra Grindal discusses the impact of the U.S.-Iran conflict on global economies. Alejandra notes that a a prolonged conflict could...

Chart of the Week

NDR: Conflicting sentiment messages

Record-high equity allocations point to strong investor optimism, which historically has been associated with lower long-term S&P 500 returns (chart above). This view is reinforced by elevated...

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NDR: See the Signals, Episode 29

Recorded February 24, 2026 - in this episode, NDR's Chief Economist Alejandra Grindal discusses the U.S. economy relative to the world. From a macro perspective, there has been a divergence in macro...

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NDR: New FED Chair & the FI Portfolio impact

NDR is excited to introduce the upcoming Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA) Service, led by two newly added senior strategists: Saumen Chattopadhyay, CFA and John LaForge. With decades of high‑level...

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NDR: What to make of a weaker U.S. dollar

The U.S. dollar has weakened sharply, with the trade weighted index down nearly 10 percent from its January 2025 peak and now near a four year low. We expect further softness in 2026. A weaker dollar...

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AI: Software friend or foe?

Artificial intelligence may be transforming the software industry, but concerns about widespread job loss are likely exaggerated. Similar to early predictions that e-commerce would replace physical...

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NDR: Dividend outlook for 2026

The combination of the Fed easing cycle and the mid term election year is setting up a unique environment for dividend strategies. Early in easing cycles, higher beta dividend profiles—like Non...

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NDR: Return for stock pickers?

Stock leadership has shifted sharply in 2026. Through January 26, 62% of S&P 500 stocks have outperformed the index, the highest share since 2001. After three difficult years for stock pickers, this...

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NDR: Market Momentum

In a recent appearance on Closing Bell Overtime, Tim Hayes, Chief Global Investment Strategist at Ned Davis Research, broke down the forces shaping today’s markets—from a remarkably long U.S. bull...

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NDR: Affordability concerns stemming from higher housing

By conventional measures of consumer purchasing power, affordability should not pose a major problem for U.S. households. Real average hourly earnings and real disposable personal income have both...