Chart of the Week

NDR: Harris vs. Trump on the economy

NDR's in-depth analysis of the economic implications of Harris vs. Trump reveals that both political camps are leaning towards increased deficit spending, with few specifics on how to balance these...

Chart of the Week

NDR: Powell signals shift in policy direction

In his Jackson Hole speech, Fed Chair Powell’s dovish stance aligned closely with both NDR's and the market’s expectations, reinforcing expectations for upcoming rate cuts. Our insights highlight...

Chart of the Week

NDR: Why this is not 2022 for Big Tech

During the COVID era, the rapid shift to remote work led to a surge in IT spending as companies moved their applications and datacenters to the cloud. This accelerated Big Tech earnings growth in...

Chart of the Week

NDR: Excessive optimism relieved, now what?

NDR clients know we like to take a 360-degree look at the overall market environment when making trend assessments. We have been sounding the alarm for several months about the underlying weakness in...

Chart of the Week

NDR: Heading towards another tech bubble?

The powerhouse mega-cap companies, known as the Magnificent Seven ("Mag 7"), have shown remarkable outperformance in the market, sparking discussions about a potential bubble. Delving into historical...

Chart of the Week

NDR: Home sales fall to lowest level this year.

The rout in the housing market extended for another month in June, as rising home prices and still elevated mortgage rates weighed on housing affordability and sales. Existing home sales fell 5.4% to...

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NDR: CPI/PPI Inflation Spread

The recent CPI/PPI spread indicates potential downside pressure on earnings and stock prices. With CPI inflation coming in softer than expected and market expectations of a Fed rate cut rising, it's...

Chart of the Week

NDR: The Plight of the Largest 7

The mega-cap companies (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Tesla), known as the Magnificent Seven ("Mag 7") have significantly outperformed the market. This has led to recent...

Chart of the Week

NDR: Second half global economic outlook

This chart shows NDR's Global Recession Probability Model, which is designed to identify OECD-defined global slowdowns, a condition historically consistent with cyclical bear markets in global...

Chart of the Week

NDR: Another Golden Opportunity?

Gold’s recent sell-off tested its April lows and produced an oversold condition, as shown above. Is this an opportunity to buy on weakness within an ongoing uptrend? That was the case after the...