Chart of the Week
The mega-cap companies (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Tesla), known as the Magnificent Seven ("Mag 7") have significantly outperformed the market. This has led to recent...
Chart of the Week
This chart shows NDR's Global Recession Probability Model, which is designed to identify OECD-defined global slowdowns, a condition historically consistent with cyclical bear markets in global...
Wealth Management
The evidence remains supportive for stocks, with earnings showing a broadening recovery into their second year despite the stickier-than-expected inflation noted by the Fed. However, it’s crucial to...
See the Signals
NDR In a world full of first rate cuts... In this episode, NDR's Chief Economist Alejandra Grindal discusses global monetary policy. Although the Fed has yet to cut rates, other central banks such as...
Chart of the Week
Gold’s recent sell-off tested its April lows and produced an oversold condition, as shown above. Is this an opportunity to buy on weakness within an ongoing uptrend? That was the case after the...
Chart of the Week
As expected, the FOMC left the fed funds target range at 5.25% to 5.50% for the seventh consecutive meeting. Powell gave no clear indication as to when a rate cut would come. Which begs the question,...
Wealth Management
The “wealth effect” for consumers is evidenced by the significant increase in stock and real estate values. The value of equities and household real estate have substantially contributed to the surge...
Wealth Management
NDR's current view on Economic data on growth and inflation is mixed. We have below-trend but still decent growth this year and that CPI will be sticky around 3%. Recent data has shown that things...
Chart of the Week
The S&P 500 advanced 4.8% in May, marking the highest return for the month of May since 2009. While all sectors except for Energy registered a gain, it was Technology and Communication Services that...
Chart of the Week
Does a strong summer rally challenge the old saying, “sell in May and go away?” Historically, the “sell in May” cyclical influence has not been as powerful during election years. Since 1950, the S&P...