Wealth Management

Rethinking Sentiment: Why Context Matters More Than Ever

Market sentiment indicators are a staple in many investors’ toolkits — but are they telling the full story?

Wealth Management

NDR: Report Download: Stock Allocations Near Record Highs — What Comes Next?

Investor stock allocations are hovering near record highs — not just among households, but also institutions and foreign buyers. While this may reflect optimism, history suggests it could be a...

Wealth Management

NDR: Report Download: The most difficult rule

In this edition of the NDR Hotline, Chief Macro Strategist Joe Kalish reflects on the most challenging of NDR’s Ten Rules of Research: Rule #1 — Be Objective. While models and data-driven strategies...

Wealth Management

NDR Report Download: Many businesses aren’t prepared for higher tariffs

U.S. imports spiked in the first quarter—but the story isn’t as straightforward as it seems. A closer look reveals a highly uneven pattern, with a few key items driving the surge. And while trade...

Wealth Management

NDR: Election 2024: How Markets Might React to a Trump vs. Harris Win

With the 2024 U.S. election approaching, investors are paying close attention to how a Trump or Harris presidency could impact market sectors and the broader economy. View the full 2024 Pre-U.S....

Wealth Management

NDR: Market Digest, October 2024 - U.S. equities: Strong Q3 for gold and stocks

Leading into the Fed's rate cut in Q3, markets experienced notable shifts across sectors and asset classes. Gold saw a strong surge, while oil's decline weighed down broader commodity indices. The...

Wealth Management

NDR: Market Digest, September 2024 - Choppy market into the election

The September 2024 edition of NDR's Market Digest takes a closer look at the choppy market conditions leading up to the U.S. presidential election. Despite ongoing recession fears, fueled by Fed rate...

Wealth Management

NDR: Market Digest, August 2024 - Unprecedented times

As market historians, we find rare market events fascinating as they provide perspective and historical parallels. This presidential election cycle is notable for several reasons: Trump is the first...

Wealth Management

NDR: Market Digest, July 2024 - Homeownership becoming unattainable for Americans

In May, we had revised our 2024 real GDP growth projection upward by 50 basis points to 1.5%-2.0% due to a somewhat firmer demand than previously anticipated. Additionally, we increased our forecast...

Wealth Management

NDR: Market Digest, July 2024 - Mid-Year Outlook

We remain bullish on U.S. stocks due to accelerating earnings growth, moderating economy and inflation, and expectations of a year-end rally in a presidential election year. The S&P 500's 15.0%...
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