NDR: Will the FOMC choose inflation?

The latest NDR commentary highlights the increasingly difficult balancing act facing the Fed as policymakers weigh persistent inflation risks against signs of moderation in some inflation measures.

While the report presents arguments on both sides of the debate, NDR believes markets may be underestimating the possibility of a near-term rate hike and emphasizes the Fed’s need to maintain credibility in its inflation-fighting mandate.

A particularly useful feature of the report is the table summarizing where individual Fed governors and regional presidents are believed to stand on rates. This table provides a concise snapshot of likely voting dynamics and highlights how close and potentially contentious the upcoming policy decision could be. Download the full publication by completing the form to the right.

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